MLBTR Chat with Steve Adams 10-27-15
Sorry for the late start! Phone call ran long. Let's get this underway!
Your website poll today mirrored a question that's been popular in Toronto - should and will Marco Estrada get a Qualifying Offer. How do you weigh in?
I agree with Jeff's assessment that this wouldn't even have been a thought earlier in the year. I'd probably pass on making it, even though I'm typically pretty aggressive with how teams should make QOs. There's still a decent chance Estrada would reject and hit the market in search of a three-year deal that could be there, but I feel like with his lack of a consistent track record and age, the QO would impact him more adversely than most. If he accepted, the one-year deal for him might not be a terrible thing -- he was worth $15.8MM and then some this year -- but probably not the way the Jays want to allocate $16MM of next year's payroll. Plus, this is a guy who's only made $10MM in his career... that's further incentive to take it.
Domonic Brown Seems like a good fit for the braves. young and needing power, if he could rebound in anyway a good trade candidate midseason
You could make a case that a buy-low former No. 1 overall prospect is a good fit for any team in baseball. But he's been pretty terrible, and I wouldn't have overly high expectations wherever he signs. Even in his strong 2013 season, he was superhuman for about 6-7 weeks and terrible for the remainder of the year.
Do the Angels give Freese a QO?
I don't expect them to, no.
Chris Taylor+ to WAS for Drew Storen. Mariners need bullpen help, and Nats need stopgap for trea turner. Who says no?
Trea Turner might be better than Chris Taylor right now. Nationals will probably shop Storen this winter, and Seattle may very well show interest, but Taylor for Storen doesn't do much for Washington except clear payroll space. If they want a stopgap, there are plenty of glove-first options they can pick up on the cheap this winter... Cliff Pennington, Clint Barmes, etc.
Adam LaRoche for Billy Butler in a bad contract swap. Who says no?
White Sox are taking on more money over a longer term in that deal -- not sure why they do that without the A's adding in additional value.
What will the Royals end up doing with Greg Holland?
Either non-tendering him or working out a two-year deal that pays him peanuts in 2016 and a more reasonable guarantee in 2017. The team probably doesn't even know which yet, though. I'd non-tender him as opposed to tying up 2017 payroll in a complete unknown.
Is Hanley Ramirez a capable 3B option for White Sox? Can he still play defense?
Hanley couldn't really play third base even when he was playing third base. Not a whole lot of reason to dive into those waters.
Kim Ng has now interviewed to be the GM for four teams. Do you think owners/presidents are just not ready for a woman GM, or are they waiting for a different one?
I say it whenever I'm asked this -- I don't know enough about Kim Ng to say that she should or shouldn't be a GM, but the notion that she should be hired just because she's a woman makes no more sense than passing over her based on her gender. Let her qualifications get her there, and if they never do, I certainly hope that, and not her gender, is the reason for it. Sadly, there probably are some owners/presidents not ready for it, but I doubt those teams are even interviewing her in the first place.
Not a sexy question, but who do you see as non-tender candidates on the Rangers roster?
Blanks and Corporan already elected FA, so they're out. Others... Bobby Wilson and Chris Gimenez are the only that jump out. Some might say Leonys Martin after the 2015 he had, but I'm sure there'd be trade interest.
Even though Shelby Miller had a weird year, do the Cardinals do everything possible to retain Jason Heyward instead of writing off as a one-year rental?
The fact that they gave up Miller for Heyward won't impact their desire to re-sign him. They want to keep Heyward because he's a great player, not to avoid the "How could they give up Miller for Heyward" blowback. They knew full well that Miller could be great for four years when they traded him. Heyward was incredible for them in 2015; they got what they wanted. (And for what it's worth, Miller wasn't that good after the first couple months -- though I still think Atlanta did well to get him)
Could the Giants go out and sign both Zimmermann and leake? If so would they?
Probably could, yeah. They offered Lester $168MM last winter. Zimmermann+Leake will cost more than that, sure, but it shows they have the cash to spend.
Wasn't excited beyond the level of "meh" for Klentak. Then the presser happened yesterday and I am thoroughly pumped. How much better do the Phillies look now, with Klentak instead of Amaro?
Klentak is incredibly smart, personable, thoughtful and has a great background. I've had the chance to speak to him a few times in the past and each time came away thinking he was likable and very, very knowledgeable. Phillies are in good hands.
That said, while Amaro takes tons of flak, he deserves credit for his final year as GM. Phillies added a ton of talent.
Rockie most likely to get moved this winter?
Carlos Gonzalez, if you're looking at guys that will fetch a nice return. Wilin Rosario might be more likely to go, but he's not bringing anything back in return.
Norge Ruiz bonus?
Predicting bonuses for Cuban free agents is a complete and utter crapshoot. Even people who follow the market aggressively and report solely on international free agents often miss wildly. I'm not the right person to ask in the first place, but there might not be a person in the world who could answer that accurately with any sort of certainty.
Avi Garcia, Micah Johnson, Chris Beck for Kevin Kiermier who says no
Rays. Avi Garcia is not very good. Not at all.
Is a guy like Yovani Gallardo out of ATL's price range?
He's probably in that 4/50 range, which the Braves can afford, though I'm not sure they really need to be spending tens of millions on free agents at this time. I guess if the idea is to bring in a mid-range guy that can help in 2016 because next offseason's crop of pitchers is garbage, then that makes some degree of sense.
At any rate, yeah they can afford Gallardo.
Does Dominic Brown make sense as the Pirates 4th OF?
Ideally, a good fourth outfielder could play center field well. Brown can't even play the corners well. He should go to a team that can give him a chance to get everyday ABs in right or left and hope that a change of scenery and new coaching helps him turn his swing around. I don't see that happening, personally, but he's still young-ish, I suppose.
will bourjos be traded or non tendered?
Traded, I think. Too good of a glove to just non-tender at that price.
No GMs in the audience today? :)
I'd hope they have more important things to do with their time.
Sanchez or Osuna to the rotation?
Anthopoulos said he thinks both are starters long-term. I think Sanchez goes back for sure in 2016. Osuna's less certain... maybe dependent on how their pursuits of other SPs pans out.
Most likely destination for Chapman
Yankees, Astros, D-Backs, Red Sox, Nationals, Tigers all make some sense to me.
Possible that Brett Lawrie or Evan Longoria could be traded this off season?
Lawrie, sure, it's possible.
The ask on Longoria would be huge. He's been more good than great with the bat over the past two seasons, but he's such a good defender and the contract is very reasonable. I don't see it, especially since the Rays need bats more than arms anyway.
Who wins AL MVP? NL Cy Young?
I'd vote for Donaldson and Greinke. I wouldn't fight anyone at all if they wanted to vote Trout, Arrieta or Kershaw though. (Well, unless they tried to vote Trout for NL Cy Young or Arrieta for AL MVP. Then, I'd protest.)
Starting twins outfield opening day?
Eddie Rosario in LF, Aaron Hicks in CF and cheap stopgap acquisition or Oswaldo Arcia in right field. I can see a stopgap like Gentry, Bourjos, Stubbs making sense.
Angels have hired Eric Chavez as special assistant to Billy Eppler.
Is Torii Hunter a HOFer?
I wouldn't vote for him, no, but I can see him getting tons of votes due to the Gold Gloves, highlight-reel catches and much of the media generally loving him. I wouldn't be stunned if he got in, but I don't think he should go, no.
Odds of a Braves/Pierzynski reunion?
Pretty decent. Twins will be in the mix as well, but Atlanta wants him back.
Carlos Santana to PIT for Nick Kingham and Harold Ramirez. Thoughts?
Both Kingham and Ramirez had their stock drop a fair amount in 2015, as I understand... I'd imagine Cleveland would hold out for more, though Santana's dip in power didn't do his value tons of favors this year.
Is Jordan Zimmermann the Cubs fallback if they dont get Price?
They've had interest in him in the past, so that makes sense to me, yeah.
Do the NY Mets sign Cespedes or Myrphy? Both??
I don't expect either to return.
I think a platoon of pierzynski with wellington castillo is AZ woud work nicely plus it would not hurt to have him for the annual brawl with the dodgers
All points make sense to me. Pierzynski's old but will have his share of offers.
Ok I have to cut it off and relieve Jeff so he can head out for the evening. You can ask me followup questions on Twitter (@Adams_Steve). Also check out Jeff's Thursday chats and feel free to harass him on Twitter as well (@JA_Todd), and/or send in further questions to our Monday Mailbag (email@example.com). Thanks for chatting everyone!