I wouldn't trade Xander straight up for Harvey, let alone Xander plus prospects.

I already had you at something like 4/44, but I'd bump the guarantee into the mid-50s probably, yeah.

Three percent? I don't think they're going $150MM+. Someone else will.

What's the point in spending hugely on a free agent when you're not going to compete for at least the first two years of the deal? Those are the best the guy is going to give you. Plus, what FA wants to sign with a team that finished with the worst record in MLB? You'd have to wildly overpay, and FA deals are already overpays by nature, for the most part.

I love that fit for Fister and Pittsburgh, if he's healthy. The crazy dip in velocity has me worried. He was throwing 84 mph this year. If an injury is the cause of all this, even Ray Searage and Jim Benedict might not be able to save him.

Yup.

Sorry, computer froze up there. No idea what happened. I just switched laptops, so we're good.

I think he gets more than that. Seven years, $220MM+. Cubs will be in the mix though, yeah. So will about 5-6 other serious teams.

Not the worst idea I've heard, but I don't know that the Red Sox are going to want to take on Garza to possibly just stink up a rotation spot. The money's about right, but the Sox don't have a ton of reason to make that swap if they're set on contending next season and fixing the rotation.

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I expect Trumbo to be the everyday option there next year. LoMo could be traded or non-tendered.

I wouldn't want to hire him. Track record of misusing pitchers' arms, and I doubt he's on board with the increasing amount of defensive shifting and implementation of analytical information on the field of play.

He got rid of Trumbo because he was able to pull off a heist and get Tyler Skaggs and Hector Santiago for him. If someone wants to come make that ridiculous of an offer for him, I'm sure Dipoto would move him again. And the White Sox got Adam Eaton in that deal. I literally cannot wrap my head around the concept of Kevin Towers trading Tyler Skaggs and Adam Eaton for Mark Trumbo. It blows my mind. I try not to judge trades too quickly, especially three-team deals like that, but I about fell out of my chair when that trade went through.

They'd need to give out the biggest deal in their franchise's history and do so by a wide margin. Like, maybe twice as much. I'm a bit lower on Gordon just because of his age, but I think he's in the $95-110MM range, and there are others I've spoken to that think I'm too pessimistic with that price.

Cardinals have never given out a contract that's the size he'll command, and they don't have a big need. Holliday-Grichuk-Piscotty in the OF would be just fine.

So early to be guessing, but since I spent a bit of time thinking about this earlier today when talking about his FA Profile with Tim, I'll say Astros or Padres. I reserve my right to change that up until the Free Agent Prediction contest locks! Ha

Not that many. Price. MAYBE Heyward. Greinke's too old. Upton didn't play well enough to get there.

I think Carter's traded, Rasmus goes elsewhere in FA. Marisnick will return.

Wouldn't make any sense for me for the Braves to reacquire him unless they're going for it in 2016, and we have no indication that that's the timeline.

They value defense and baserunning hugely, which are two hugely important factors in sabermetrics. I think what's more likely here is that you're not accurately depicting what all those "geeky stat nerdz" value.

I do think the O's lose Davis, and LaRoche makes some sense if the Sox are willing to eat a few million and send him to Baltimore for a warm body or two. Adam Lind makes sense as well, but he'd probably command a more significant prospect return since he actually had a good season. Could roll the dice on Justin Morneau. There are options at first base, and they have a ready-made platoon partner for any lefty swinger they bring in with Christian Walker already in house.

It'll be tough for Beane to trade Gray or Reddick after going on-record to say he wouldn't trade either. He could still do it, don't get me wrong, but I find it pretty unlikely. I'd say Vogt or Jesse Chavez is likelier to be moved, myself.

Mark Polishuk just wrote 2000+ words on this for us: http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2015/10/offseason-...

Yeah, I think there's some sense there. Jerry Dipoto has already spoken a lot about needing to get more athletic and improving the outfield defense, and Gordon would certainly improve their glovework.

The Nationals have Bryce Harper, Stephen Strasburg, Max Scherzer, Anthony Rendon, Gio Gonzalez, the best pitching prospect in baseball (Lucas Giolito), a really intriguing young CF (Michael Taylor) and shortstop (Trea Turner), plus a huge payroll to add around the pieces they have this winter. No, they're not screwed for five years. They're probably not even screwed for 2016.

Firstly, no, that's not enough for the Nats. Secondly, Strasburg's only controlled for one year anyway, as is Storen. Why are the Twins gutting the farm for what would amount to a series of rentals?

A-Rod. Though I think it's awesome what Madson did after such a long layoff

How about we wait until we actually see what they do this winter since we don't have a clue what the Opening Day roster will look like next year?

Any team could probably use Black's services as a pitching coach, and Ausmus of course knows Black well from working together in San Diego, so yeah that makes some sense.

I think the Giants will add a top-tier starter, be it Zimmermann, Cueto, or even Price. They'll be involved with most of the top names. Price would be a surprise, but they offered a huge amount for Lester last winter. (Not Price money, but $160MM, if I remember correctly).

Ask the person who asked it. I'm picking A-Rod regardless.

As much as I love Pollock, Archer's controlled longer and cheaper, so Rays wouldn't do it. But have I mentioned that I love AJ Pollock? Because AJ Pollock is awesome.

Sorry, phone rang.

I think Nevin has interviewed for every open managerial vacancy, so he certainly has a good shot. That said, it does seem like Bogar is the favorite in Seattle, and the Nats might want someone with MLB managing experience after the Williams debacle. I know Nevin is an accomplished Minor League manager, but they might prefer someone who has more experience juggling MLB egos and communicating with highly paid veterans.

He seems like a fine fit in San Diego, to me, but I don't really know much about him other than the fact that he's hugely respected a as a minor league manager, so I'm not exactly one to comment on his specific qualifications.

He has full no-trade protection so he'd need to approve the deal. Might have some appeal to him as an Annapolis native, thought, I suppose. I know he talked with the O's when he was a free agent six or seven years ago. (Good lord I can't believe it's been that long since he signed his contract)

It's tougher to find someone to fill third base than it is left field, and they have a fair amount of promising young pitching. They'll probably have interest in re-signing Freese, though I could see Daniel Murphy being an option at third or any number of trade targets (Trevor Plouffe, Luis Valbuena to name a couple).

They really like JT Realmuto, and Boras will probably be targeting something like McCann money (just my speculation), so not all that realistic.

Don't get me thinking about food! I'm trying to take a few more questions!

Chen fits into a lot of team's plans -- he's a pretty decent pitcher, albeit not spectacular. Padres have bigger needs than adding another mid-rotation arm though... namely figuring out who is starting at shortstop (it shouldn't be Gyorko) and who's going to play center field. And, if Wil Myers is a first baseman now, finding a trade partner for Yonder Alonso would be a nice move as well. (Brewers, Orioles, Astros come to mind)

Only 125 games at AA under his belt. I'd say he opens the year in Triple-A for sure, but maybe he gets a late-April call-up like Rodon did. No harm in giving him three weeks at Triple-A for a bit of a look there. If he adjusts immediately, then consider a call-up, sure. At least then you have the extra year of team control.

I know he had a great finish, but I don't think anyone's taking that contract without the Rangers taking back a pretty substantial contract in return.

Third base is always a premium position, but I feel like there are more good ones than usual in the game right now. Frazier, Seager, Donaldson, Beltre, Arenado, Longoria, Carpenter, Duffy, Machado, Bryant, Plouffe, Moustakas.... that's quite a bit.

I dislike the assumption that she should be hired based solely on her gender. That's not a reason for her to be denied a job, but it's not a reason for her to be handed one, either. If she's not the best candidate, I can deal with that so long as the interview process is genuine. I don't know enough about her qualifications and methodology to comment on whether or not she should be a GM, truthfully. I've never met or spoken to her, though I've heard good things second-hand.

"If they could only upgrade their pitching."

The Rockies have been trying to do that for two decades. You can't just tack it on like it's a throw-in concept that can be easily addressed. They've failed largely at developing arms, free agents don't want to sign there, and trading for an entire rotation/bullpen isn't really feasible. It's much easier said than done, and I'll be stunned if the Rox are in contention next summer. They're really far off because of said pitching woes.

I haven't even drank the 12-pack I bought when it got put on Amazon briefly, haha. I was all on board with reliving my childhood, but there's like 58 grams of sugar per can in those bad boys. It's actually disgusting to me. (Health-wise, that is -- the taste was fine, at least in a nostalgic sort of way)