Apologies on another late start -- will aim for normal time next week and hang around longer today to make up for the delay. Let's get underway!

05/01/2016 20:40
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Steve Adams

6e4f62232fe7c185a8274bac42e333bb?d=identicon

TJ

Where will Wilin Rosario end up? Will he get a major league deal?

I think he gets a big league deal, though I'm a little surprised that there's been so little talk about him. I think he's a fine AL piece -- fill in at C/1B/DH against lefties and provide some pop off the bench. I like him as a fit in Toronto.

05/01/2016 20:42
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Steve Adams

39ec7b2dd10f6c5b011ef57a343a1724?d=identicon

Adge

Is Arnold Leon it for the Jays offseason?

Nah -- still think they'll add a reliever or something once the market dries up a bit more and they can get someone at a discount. In general, I don't mind that the Jays, Twins and a few other clubs haven't aggressively pursued relief help. The prices to this point have been way higher than I anticipated.

05/01/2016 20:43
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Steve Adams

318b2739ddc2c16c97b33c9b04b79f3e?d=identicon

Me

Yasmany Tomas and Jimmy Sherfly to BAL for Zach Britton. Who says no?

I don't think Tomas has much in the way of trade value at this point, and Britton's value is at an all-time high. Orioles don't go that route.

05/01/2016 20:44
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Steve Adams

3e06fa3927cbdf4e9d93ba4541acce86?d=identicon

Michael

What do you think of the Mike Leake deal? Good or bad signing?

It's what I expected -- I said 5/80 in his November profile, though I could've envisioned it landing anywhere fro 75 to 90 million, realistically. It's a fine deal. He's a young free agent, so STL is buying more of his prime than if they'd gone elsewhere for rotation help. Leake should give them 190-200 innings of an upper 3.00s ERA each year with good defense at his position and a good bat, relative to other pitchers. Not bad for the Cards at all.

05/01/2016 20:46
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Steve Adams

3e06fa3927cbdf4e9d93ba4541acce86?d=identicon

Michael

Are you receiving my questions?

Sure am. Yours and a few hundred others so far. No way to get to all of the questions we receive in these, though I do publish one of these from time to time just to let newcomers know it's nothing personal. I'll probably receive 1500 questions today, so apologies if I don't get to yours.

05/01/2016 20:47
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Steve Adams

F87567f2159b425795ebb7ba9bc406ec?d=identicon

Patrick

What does a JD Martinez Extension look like, and when do those conversations start?

I wrote about a Martinez extension in the Tigers' Offseason Outlook and pegged it at something like six years, $110MM. There's not a huge discount to be had on him at this point now that he's hit arb for a second time. You can read a much lengthier examination of it in that Outlook piece here:

http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2015/10/offseason-...

05/01/2016 20:49
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Steve Adams

E8b579fe36f15209c6f167396a46b04e?d=identicon

Kyle

Is Edwin Jackson a good fit for the Marlins?

He's fine as a depth piece. Looked OK as a reliever last season and gives them rotation depth in the event that they can't lure someone more exciting. People will mock it, because it's the Marlins and Jackson stunk in 2013-14, but for what should be the league minimum, I don't mind the roll of the dice at all.

05/01/2016 20:50
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Steve Adams

C227f596745138df2876a9e598795c15?d=identicon

Snoke

The Empire or The First order?

Empire! I liked Force Awakens quite a bit, but I still prefer the original three. Worlds better than eps 1-3 though.

05/01/2016 20:50
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Steve Adams

Dc2054afd537ddc98afd9347136494ac?d=identicon

Tim

Does Markakis have any trade value?

Three years and $33MM for a guy who showed zero power last season and has had some injuries, at his age... I don't think so.

05/01/2016 20:51
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Steve Adams

978c7f86526e2d45e0ae34b2d04c3e73?d=identicon

rye

When will things pick up?

Honestly it's tough to say, because this isn't a conventional offseason. In a normal year, I'd expect things to begin picking up in mid- to late January as the remaining free agents lower their expectations a bit and as the field of suitors narrows. But, there are so many quality free agents left on the market... the remaining group right now is better than the entire 2016-17 class of FAs. I don't have a great answer because we haven't really seen a group of free agents this good in a long, long time. Certainly not under this iteration of the CBA.

05/01/2016 20:53
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Steve Adams

5ca49fbfb5ba90d2927d7f85f07ad74d?d=identicon

Billy

I ask this question each week but do you see Giants moving Susac with Brown looking so good? Seems like Susac, Arroyo package could get good results

I think Susac can be someone's everyday catcher, and it's not going to happen in SF, so he makes sense to me as a trade chip.

05/01/2016 20:53
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Steve Adams

D1d953a6970d6669860479581fce24e3?d=identicon

Curious George

Are you the man with the yellow hat?

In that scenario I think I'm the troublemaking primate.

05/01/2016 20:54
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Steve Adams

4d0fef3280b8c1356077de7363a8b893?d=identicon

Jay

Are the Tigers and Twins done?

Still fully expect the Twins to trade for a lefty reliever and maybe sign another low-cost one -- bring back Neal Cotts, for instance.

I'm in the "Al Avila is done, but Mike Ilitch probably isn't" camp that thinks Ilitch might go over his GM's head and sign a high-priced left fielder.

05/01/2016 20:55
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Steve Adams

7c1f90bd9bdc70cc059640a7a6209389?d=identicon

Matt

Trea Turner - will he be in the starting lineup on opening day?

Nah, I think Espinosa opens the year at shortstop.

05/01/2016 20:55
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Steve Adams

7343bc2d8ce4d036662375e7eccc016a?d=identicon

ODoyle Rules

Illitch has money. Any chance he forces Avila to throw big $'s at an Outfielder for a 2-3 year deal, and it gets accepted?

Not for 2-3 years, but like I just said, I do think there's a very real chance he breaks the bank on another big signing.

05/01/2016 20:56
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Steve Adams

A4c349f4c6392df01a4dd74bb724b6bc?d=identicon

Itto

1for 1: Soler for Carrasco or Salazar, who says no?

I don't think the Indians do it. Soler had some pretty big durability issues in the minors and just wasn't that good in 2015. I'm still a big fan of Soler, but I think Cleveland would want more, since the stock of the guys they're moving is currently higher.

05/01/2016 20:57
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Steve Adams

Plus, Soler can opt into arbitration once he gets enough service time, so he'll be considerably more expensive than Carrasco.

05/01/2016 20:57
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Steve Adams

3e06fa3927cbdf4e9d93ba4541acce86?d=identicon

Michael

Dark horse for Upton?

Nationals? Mike Rizzo drafted Upton with the first overall pick when he was Arizona's scouting director. Knows him well and could easily shift Harper to center for two seasons while Werth's contract finishes up.

05/01/2016 20:58
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Steve Adams

3bd802a70d9aacd4cdbe19d33e29b706?d=identicon

Trader John

Will Freddie Last the year with the Braves ?

Seems like he's the face of the franchise for the SunTrust Park era -- I don't expect him to be traded at all, be it this winter or during the season.

05/01/2016 20:58
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Steve Adams

D9ffaca46d5990ec39501bcdf22ee7a1?d=identicon

Tom

Any chance the A's trade Josh Reddick?

In July, I'd say it's possible, if Oakland isn't contending. I don't think they'll do it this winter. Beane actually said he wants to extend him, but with Reddick a year from free agency, that's a tough task for Oakland. Next year's class is thin, and Reddick has shown 20-30 HR pop with elite right field defense. He'll be going into his age-30 season. Platoon splits notwithstanding, he's going to get paid handsomely.

05/01/2016 21:00
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Steve Adams

B61f770143428684af06d34451233d9d?d=identicon

Jesse1908

Should the Cubs try to trade Hammel or maybe package Hendrix/Soler for something better?

I like the idea of them packaging Hendricks in an effort to upgrade their rotation. If it's Hendricks+Soler, they'd have to get a pretty nice arm in return though -- one with multiple years of control remaining.

05/01/2016 21:01
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Steve Adams

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Scott

I've seen a few articles recently suggesting that the Red Sox should trade Rusney Castillo and sign either Upton or Gordon. What likelihood is there of the Sox making such a move(s) and giving up the #12 draft pick?

The Gordon thing is nothing new. He was connected to Boston pretty heavily at the onset of free agency. I don't think Castillo has a lot of trade value given his contract, so Bradley is the more movable piece in that scenario. A Gordon-Betts-Castillo outfield would probably be pretty sound, defensively. I wouldn't put it past Dombrowski, but I'm not expecting it as a likely outcome or anything.

05/01/2016 21:03
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Steve Adams

Cd939d8c904db23fd894dedfd8505cfe?d=identicon

Anonymous

Do the Rays have anything in the works? They need some bats.

They've been linked to trades involving their relievers and starters for quite some time. I don't think they're going to necessarily add much in the way of MLB-ready bats if they move one of them, though. I think they're set with a Jennings-Kiermaier-Souza OF and Longoria-Miller/Beckham-Forsythe-Loney/Shaffer/LoMo around the infield and at DH. I would like to see them add a catcher, but they have Rivera, Casali and Conger back there already -- none excite me, but the Rays love them some quality pitch-framing.

05/01/2016 21:05
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Steve Adams

944facfeb153b4f01916a0f166fcc315?d=identicon

Chris

How much do you think Justin Masterson could be signed for and do you think he will bounce back?

I'm not even sure he gets a Major League deal. He's been awful for two straight seasons and had 2-3 surgeries in that time. If he gets a big league deal, I don't think it's for more than $2-3MM. As for whether or not he bounces back, I think that's entirely dependent on his health. I'd endorse a team like the Pirates or Marlins rolling the dice to find out though.

05/01/2016 21:07
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Steve Adams

F5adc993801abd0545bec603e9da05de?d=identicon

Invasion of Mikes

Why is Dave Stewart saying he won't forfeit draft picks for free agents when he already forfeited his top pick for Greinke? I think Howie Kendrick is worth a second round pick.

Jeff Todd and I chatted about this last night after Stewart went public with that comment. It's one of the most bizarre things I've seen in awhile, and I frankly just don't believe him at all. As you said, they already surrendered a nice pick for Greinke. But it's more than that. Arizona traded the #1 overall pick from 2015 already (Swanson), traded its 2014 first-rounder for salary relief (Toussaint) and also included one of its 2013 first-rounders (Blair) in the Miller deal as well. They don't seem to value draft picks all that highly whatsoever. To me, this is Stewart just taking a firmer tone in negotiating through the media. This club is the definition of an "all-in" team (pardon the cliche), and to draw a line in the sand now after coming this far is nuts.

05/01/2016 21:10
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Steve Adams

3e06fa3927cbdf4e9d93ba4541acce86?d=identicon

Michael

Gonzales, Reyes and Adams for Carlos Gonzalez....no?

That's actually not a bad offer from the Cards' standpoint. Would depend on the health of Gonzales' shoulder, but I can see Colorado having interest in something like that.

05/01/2016 21:12
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Steve Adams

7cee48d20469bc9198f40b9e8863347c?d=identicon

Terrance

Dexter Fowler to the Giants?

If I'm San Francisco, I'm not "settling" for Fowler. If you're going to give up the pick, just go for broke and sign Upton or Gordon. Or, just spend more for Cespedes. I don't think Dexter Fowler going to a Warriors game is really indicative of anything though. If he were deep in negotiations and they didn't want word getting out, I doubt he'd be tweeting pics of himself at the arena.

05/01/2016 21:14
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Steve Adams

86c06093b9c9351bcea13ba73dcf9502?d=identicon

carlitos

Alex Wood , De leon, Vanslyke, and holmes for Sonny Gray who says no?

I'd say they need to give more, but I'd have said the same thing if you tossed out Lawrie/Graveman/Nolin/Barreto for Donaldson last winter. Still, given Beane and Forst's on-record comments about not wanting to move Gray, I think they'd need to be more overwhelmed than that.

05/01/2016 21:15
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Steve Adams

657b3da92ee342d7f1eeb4c0454e1448?d=identicon

Bobby

When do we see Madbum get re-extended?

There's no real reason for them to do that at all right now. They control him dirt cheap through 2019. Madison Bumgarner is going to make $12MM in 2019 -- imagine what elite SPs are going to commanding at that time given the rate of inflation. There's just no real reason to do so for another 2-3 years... do they really want to commit to his age-31 season and beyond some five years in advance? That's not sound thinking from a baseball perspective, given the fragile nature of pitchers.

05/01/2016 21:17
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Steve Adams

D0c264ab7200ae2750103025d882231c?d=identicon

Not So Big Red Machine

Where do you see Jay Bruce and Brandon Phillips going to in trades?

I don't think Phillips is going to be traded. If he wouldn't approve a deal to a winning club managed by Dusty Baker, whom he knows very well from Baker's Cincinnati days, to which team would he approve a deal? No one's extending Phillips into 2018 to facilitate that trade.

05/01/2016 21:18
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Steve Adams

24d22e03afb23edb45c6c8cfa16a280e?d=identicon

JP

Alex Gordon to Padres 3/48?

If Gordon were going to settle for 3/48, he'd just go back to Kansas City. I still think he'll make almost double that amount eventually, though I'm not as firmly in the "$100MM for Gordon" camp as I once was.

05/01/2016 21:19
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Steve Adams

C44e1acacdf5711ffa393d32636dc596?d=identicon

Steven

Cespedes or Parra for the angels?

At this point, seems like that's only plausible if they move CJ Wilson first. Because Arte Moreno still seems really adamant about avoiding the luxury tax threshold.

05/01/2016 21:20
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Steve Adams

43ddc789bcea4177a14791f6c9a03b28?d=identicon

Thai

Wait. Wouldn't the D-backs lose their compensatory A pick (37th overall) instead of their second-round pick (51st overall) if they signed Howie Kenrick/

They would, yeah. Did the original question I answered say "second round"? I read it as "second pick" (meaning the Comp pick), but a lot of these are kind of a blur to me. Sorry for any confusion. My point regarding the bizarre nature of Stewart's comments was in reference to his refusal to part with that pick -- at this point, why not? They've come too far to draw a hard line, in my eyes.

05/01/2016 21:22
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Steve Adams

Ffa897d1b0de8ff4f7ca5453f4cbfb2d?d=identicon

JDog

Dixon Machado and Moya for Matt Moore?

Not enough going to Tampa Bay.

05/01/2016 21:23
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Steve Adams

E61e34b450f37e2668daf2318dcaf978?d=identicon

Chip

Does CJ Cron and Santiago start a conversation for Cargo?

I don't think so, no. Santiago has only two years remaining and Cron is a not-great defender that can't be hidden at DH in the NL.

05/01/2016 21:23
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Steve Adams

927682863dd7445e3bdc040e4cc7767f?d=identicon

Molina

Could you beat any MLB player in a foot race

Is Bengie Molina still playing?

I'm sure there's one or two old catchers or DHs or chunky pitchers, haha. I used to be pretty fast and ran track/cross country in high school and college, but it's been a decade since I ran competitively, so who knows?

05/01/2016 21:25
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Steve Adams

5a747a35744e5f50f55d0bac09a43d8d?d=identicon

Matthias

Which minor leaguer has the best baseball name in your opinion?

Buck Farmer, Joey Pankake, Skye Bolt

05/01/2016 21:25
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Steve Adams

7fd9a94f143d2bd19e98b3844a45d3ac?d=identicon

Ross

Watch an hour of the bachelor or High Heat?

Oh my god this is my nightmare

05/01/2016 21:25
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Steve Adams

86c06093b9c9351bcea13ba73dcf9502?d=identicon

carlitos

Can draft picks be traded in baseball?

Competitive Balance draft picks can be, yes. But other picks aren't able to be moved. Charlie Wilmoth wrote about the value of Comp Balance picks for us awhile back:

http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2013/05/what-are-c...

05/01/2016 21:26
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Steve Adams

A487974e0c3f0077497c4661b702da03?d=identicon

Bravesfan82

Tim LIncecum to the Braves 2.yr 15.5 yes or no?

If anyone offered Lincecum two years and $15MM, I have to imagine he'd take that in a heartbeat. But I can't see him getting more than a year guaranteed.

05/01/2016 21:27
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Steve Adams

3e06fa3927cbdf4e9d93ba4541acce86?d=identicon

Michael

Which signing was the worst in your opinion thus far?

Not a fan of the O'Day, Soria and Madson commitments -- too much over too many years for relievers, especially one of Madson's age. But, as excited as it made D-backs fans, the Greinke signing is the ugliest one when looking at the long-term. It's way too much money -- total and annually -- and could really be a killer for that franchise. However, Arizona is very clearly looking in the next 1-3 years and not considering the future much, so if they have three deep playoff runs or something with Greinke and Miller, I doubt they care how Zack's deal ends. Too much risk there for my liking, though.

05/01/2016 21:29
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Steve Adams

3e06fa3927cbdf4e9d93ba4541acce86?d=identicon

Michael

Ken Griffey Jr. is an unanimous Hall of Famer right?

Should be but he won't be. Some BBWAA members are just off their rockers.

05/01/2016 21:30
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Steve Adams

944facfeb153b4f01916a0f166fcc315?d=identicon

Chris

What do I have to be a writer for MLBTR?

Apply the next time we do a post saying "MLBTR Seeking Writing Help." You'll be one of many, many applicants (probably a couple thousand), but that's how we've brought on literally every single writer who is with MLBTR, PFR and Hoops Rumors since I can remember.

05/01/2016 21:32
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Steve Adams

Picture

Robb Birdman

Follow up - If Cespedes market does crash - are the Mets back in?

It would need to crash in a huge way. I don't see the price dropping to the point where the Mets are in. His market isn't going to go below $100MM, for instance. At a certain point, if the asking price drops enough, a team that doesn't even need him will just sign him and make room for him because they consider it to be a good value.

05/01/2016 21:33
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Steve Adams

6957e4e5a5a3acc894e7a8d08767030c?d=identicon

Montu

Lincecum did pretty well when he pitched in a late inning situation a few years back. Any chance he works towards being a closer.

I would really like to see him in a short relief role, possibly as a closer. He probably won't do it yet, but Dave Cameron wrote an awesome piece about that on Fangraphs within the past year:

http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/tim-lincecum-now-...

05/01/2016 21:35
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Steve Adams

81f67de916126e74303526b1e9c9c087?d=identicon

Chatty Cathy

Who was the last MLBer you met and how did it go?

I guess technically Wade LeBlanc since we corresponded to get him on the MLBTR Podcast. He was great. Cool guy, very nice, very insightful. He was a great guest:

http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2015/11/mlbtr-podc...

05/01/2016 21:36
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Steve Adams

84814b43bd0271bd407e14ca38654207?d=identicon

Rich

Do you red Sox trying to sign a fister type on 1 yr deal.

I get the thinking with Dombrowski connection but the rotation seems pretty full there. I think he'll go somewhere that gives him a better spot in the rotation. Plus, the AL East isn't a great spot to rebuild value.

05/01/2016 21:37
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Steve Adams

128324bde67b48869eb76617d9c8af7b?d=identicon

Rays Fan

Why most of the pictures of players used on this site and MLB official site are taken at the Trop?

If we have a large number of pictures of players playing at the Trop, that's pure happenstance. USA Today Sports Images is our image provider, but truth be told, there's not a lot that goes into the selection process when trying to grab an image. I usually look for one that has a reasonably clear view of the guy's face.

05/01/2016 21:38
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Steve Adams

711ab7eb95c33ad2bdcce1bf0c5e68ae?d=identicon

Darth Wang

Carson Fulmer and Adam Eaton for Kyle Schwarber?

I wouldn't even do that if I were Chicago. Adam Eaton is so insanely valuable with six years and $41MM remaining on his deal. The surplus value there is incredible, and adding in Fulmer only makes it worse. I know people love Schwarber's bat, but Eaton is so underrated.

05/01/2016 21:40
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Steve Adams

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