Hey all -- feel free to start asking questions and I will begin answering them shortly.

22/10/2015 19:09
Dilmot avatar

Jeff Todd

Sorry for the delay getting started -- worked all morning and needed to grab a snack. (Stole my kids' frosted mini wheats, Trader Joe's version, since I know someone will ask.)

22/10/2015 19:10
Dilmot avatar

Jeff Todd

877b13f232fe100743d38e5bcb9a82d3?d=identicon

Jeremy

Do you see the Cubs trading Schwarber for pitching? Maybe Schwarber and Hendricks for Sonny Gray? Seems like Schwarber is a stud LH Power Hitter with no position and no DH

Well, it's a fair question, because he does seem like he'd be most useful to an AL club that could use him at least some of the time (and while he's developing defensively) at DH. But I'm leaning against that, in part b/c I tend to believe the Cubs when they say they believe Schwarber can catch.

His upside as a backstop is tremendous.

22/10/2015 19:11
Dilmot avatar

Jeff Todd

E460d3a9fce066f47bb0b17bdbb1381a?d=identicon

Anonymous

Who do you think will replace Alex Gordon in 2016?

Great question here, and not one I'm sure I can answer. I was surprised with what KC did last winter, but those short-term deals may provide a clue here. The OFers who could fit a similar mold this year are guys like Steve Pearce, Chris Young, Marlon Byrd, and Alejandro De Aza.

That's not terribly exciting, I know, but I don't see them spending a ton of cash unless maybe -- just maybe -- it's to bring back Gordon.

22/10/2015 19:13
Dilmot avatar

Jeff Todd

D226e6d6d60e7994ecb62fc7ca77464c?d=identicon

Corey

What would your top goals and targets be for the Braves this off-season?

Continue to act opportunistically. I don't see them doing much in the way of targeted acquisitions, though they may try to focus in on a few positions of possible need for the future in trades (e.g., outfield).

In terms of free agency, I'd look for them to try to pick up a few veteran types that might have trade value and who can provide solid contributions in the meantime.

Braves fans will have to wait another year for the pedal to be pushed down, I think.

22/10/2015 19:15
Dilmot avatar

Jeff Todd

877b13f232fe100743d38e5bcb9a82d3?d=identicon

Jeremy

Who will be next year's surprise playoff team that could make a run? White Sox? Diamondbacks? Twins?

Better question: which teams are really, really unlikely to do that? You could argue for the Rockies, Phillies, Reds, Brewers, at first glance. Barring a Padres-esque offseason from those teams, I would be pretty surprised if they are in contention. Could possibly add Braves to the list. Not sure I'd be willing to count out any AL teams at this point.

22/10/2015 19:17
Dilmot avatar

Jeff Todd

7efd721c8bfff2937c66235f2d0dbac1?d=identicon

Adam

Who gets a better deal this offseason: Zobrist or Murphy?

I'm answering because it's a great question. But I don't know! Zobrist easily as of a few weeks ago, but Murphy is much younger and is now super-Murphy. I also think teams will look at him for third base openings, which could really expand his market. Could be close.

22/10/2015 19:18
Dilmot avatar

Jeff Todd

A7f309118621a88791ecf14f2fe47e8a?d=identicon

Shutdown Inning

What is the likelihood of the Rangers moving one of their big contracts - Prince Fielder/Elvis Andrus or Shin Soo Choo in the offseason?

Don't see this as being very likely. They are going to keep trying to contend, and dumping salary probably won't help in the near term. It's not like they really have immediate upgrades on hand. Fielder and Choo were good (did you realize just how good Choo was late in the year? he was unreal) and Andrus has minimal value and no fill-in. (Profar isn't going back to short any time soon, if ever.)

22/10/2015 19:21
Dilmot avatar

Jeff Todd

Looked it up quick: Choo had better than a 1.000 OPS in the second half!

22/10/2015 19:21
Dilmot avatar

Jeff Todd

075fdd442547e10b031459bc115d497f?d=identicon

Mike P.

Is there an order to the off-season outlooks? Or just whoever you guys feel on writing about at the time?

Sort of going from worst to first, but it's more just as things get done, reviewed, etc.

22/10/2015 19:22
Dilmot avatar

Jeff Todd

18126e7bd3f84b3f3e4df094def5b7de?d=identicon

mike

is there a hangup on AA resigning with Toronto?

Think they are just waiting to address for the playoff run to end.

22/10/2015 19:22
Dilmot avatar

Jeff Todd

083d9a270e6e16b2fbb08d35067aae5f?d=identicon

Dave

Do you see the Dodgers going after Mike Scioscia?

No, unless they are planning a huge new reality TV show. I'd re-purchase cable to watch that.

22/10/2015 19:23
Dilmot avatar

Jeff Todd

036e3491ba499df64611c82b6bcdd37d?d=identicon

Ivan

Buchholz and Tazawa for A. Almora ? Who says no?

Not sure this trade makes any sense for either club. The Cubs would rather spend some $ in free agency and keep their young possible CF of the future. And the Red Sox don't really need a CF of the future.

22/10/2015 19:24
Dilmot avatar

Jeff Todd

7f15f1ad99c489dc0314952535e424d5?d=identicon

Jeff

What do the mets do with Zach wheeler when he's healthy?

Put him in the rotation and make everyone "ooh" and "aah" at this: deGrom-Harvey-Syndergaard-Wheeler-Matz

22/10/2015 19:25
Dilmot avatar

Jeff Todd

4d236810821e8e83a025f2a83ea31820?d=identicon

Brian

Seems like the Padres have tons of needs. What is their #1 priority?

For me, it's probably shortstop. Such a revolving door there, and they traded away Turner. It's fine to say you dont think defense is essential, and I agree, but your bats need to be good by an equivalent margin to cover it. Plugging in even an adequate player there would go a long way.

Whether or not they should spend big for Desmond is an open question.

22/10/2015 19:26
Dilmot avatar

Jeff Todd

3ccf74d463f8895cef06727cb9709d83?d=identicon

Colon

Who are some under the radar names, Seattle could trade for or sign to bolster their OF while valuing speed and defense?

Austin Jackson? *ducks*

Okay, seriously ... if you want speed and defense at a reasonable price, Gerardo Parra could be your man, though I don't think he'll be super cheap. Otherwise ... Rajai Davis?

22/10/2015 19:28
Dilmot avatar

Jeff Todd

Cbc3974db92bcbe03cbd3f659fc320ae?d=identicon

John Coppolella

In your opinion, who goes #3 to the Braves in the 2016 Draft?

Coppy, come on man, you just hired Kiley McDaniel from Fangraphs and you are still hounding ME with draft questions. You gotta pay to get that information, my man.

(No clue.)

22/10/2015 19:29
Dilmot avatar

Jeff Todd

Afc6be4945f7257b96b31d3e5c02f4cc?d=identicon

andrew friedman

next dodgers manager is?

Way too early to put much stock in "frontrunner" reports re Kapler, but he makes a lot of sense with the current FO. I'm sure there are other reasonable candidates, but you could do worse than guessing him right now.

22/10/2015 19:30
Dilmot avatar

Jeff Todd

5cb978bb09b2d6a6892a1e413725c4ea?d=identicon

Brian Cashman

Any chance I go after a big-name free agent this winter or are we waiting for more contracts to expire?

Sounds like the latter, but that depends whether you decide it's a rare chance to grab a young player like Heyward.

Why do I keep taking questions from people claiming to be actual baseball people?

22/10/2015 19:31
Dilmot avatar

Jeff Todd

A5d01d51e2153851f8b01a1d1b39d764?d=identicon

Anonymous

Why haven't there been more rumors connecting Alex Gordon to the Angels? Seems like a great fit

As are any number of other corner outfielders. I guess there could be some added merit to Gordon, since he's a fairly premium guy who won't require quite as many years of commitment. Maybe that makes better sense with their contract timeline, though honestly I haven't thought about it closely enough to make a firm assessment.

22/10/2015 19:32
Dilmot avatar

Jeff Todd

37fb25cf83258431167e7b278966d8b3?d=identicon

Chris F

I realize he'd cost $25m/yr but doesn't it make sense for ATL to go after David Price? From the area (reportedly few years ago said how much he'd love to play for them), Aces don't grow on trees, he's as healthy as you can get as far as Aces go, a 6-8 year deal wouldn't be wasted if they have another dud in 2016...

I think we can put this one to bed now: no, I don't think it makes sense, especially after they have bulked up significantly on young pitching.

And I'm even more convinced that the FO will not do this.

22/10/2015 19:34
Dilmot avatar

Jeff Todd

69150db2295de887b03fc7e3a0e9eebb?d=identicon

Dino

Do you think the Tiger's would find Sean Doolittle appealing? Do you think the A's would

Who wouldn't? He's a great pitcher and hilarious. And he shares my alma mater.

Could they pry him loose? Sure, but I doubt the A's let him go for cheap, because his contract still looks good and he was at least able to show that he is close to full health. (Still needs to build back the velo, but maybe he'll show that this spring.)

22/10/2015 19:35
Dilmot avatar

Jeff Todd

C297455c41f2193cfb3b281ec04277fa?d=identicon

Ron

What kind of pitching do you think the Dodgers could get back if they trades Puig?

Really good pitching. This is one of those scenarios that is kind of impossible to play out hypothetically, because Puig's value would be viewed so differently by various teams. You might have contenders willing to give up young arms, or rebuilders willing to part with high-end, short-term veterans. Lots of counter-balancing pieces could come into play, etc.

22/10/2015 19:37
Dilmot avatar

Jeff Todd

02a5918bd3dbb1cdf587ca9499a82508?d=identicon

Buckley

Pagan has health issues. He had the range of a dead corpse this year. Do you see the Giants replacing him?

Just wrote about that in my offseason outlook, which hit the site like 10 minutes ago. They aren't talking like they'll do that, but he was quite bad. (-0.5 fWAR and nearly -2 rWAR!!!)

I kind of like the idea of adding someone who can play center with intentions of using them in left. With the injury and age of the OF in SF, I think they need to think more like 5 OF deep. Blanco has been great, but it wouldn't hurt to pair someone else with Aoki or add a better option and let Aoki walk (or pick up the option and trade him).

22/10/2015 19:40
Dilmot avatar

Jeff Todd

Oh, on that last note -- since so many Yankees fans seem to want to trade Gardner, he could work in San Francisco!

22/10/2015 19:40
Dilmot avatar

Jeff Todd

E9e1adc3674e1f37f859c1add23e68d5?d=identicon

Skeptical One

Why do executives always seem to fall for the latest hot player. Is Daniel Murphy really worth more today then he was last week.

Maybe a little bit, because you might buy into his power a little bit more. But he was going to get paid more than people realized anyway, because he's steadily above average with the bat and can play second and third. The market at third is basically him and David Freese. And maybe Hwang from the KBO.

22/10/2015 19:42
Dilmot avatar

Jeff Todd

6766992ca3827afeb1181bf1c123b230?d=identicon

Tanner

James Paxton and Chris Taylor for JD Martinez. Which team says no?

You mean the still-cheap JD Martinez who is one of the game's most fearsome sluggers? Being traded from the Tigers, the club that routinely pays top dollar for top sluggers? No way they do that, IMO, even if Avila sees things somewhat differently than his old boss.

22/10/2015 19:43
Dilmot avatar

Jeff Todd

6766992ca3827afeb1181bf1c123b230?d=identicon

Tanner

The Cards seem to never overpay. Do they have a shot at re-signing Heyward?

Absolutely. Mozeliak has made clear they'll pursue him. I think he knows that they aren't going to come close with low-ball offers. Remember, they brought back Holliday.

Far from certain they'll be willing/able to beat the market on Heyward, and maybe it would be necessary for him to take less to stay in STL, but I think they have as good a shot as any team.

22/10/2015 19:45
Dilmot avatar

Jeff Todd

0e6fc146d3df089b02812f1183de24c0?d=identicon

Quinn

Does Marco Estrada get a qualifying offer after his performance last night?

That still seems a bit steep for one year, but man, it's kind of a fun question. He was already going to be an under the radar arm going into the winter, and we have him moving into the three-year range. Might have to make that a poll in the coming days!

22/10/2015 19:46
Dilmot avatar

Jeff Todd

C83b08072c29d83bc964ccc156f9100f?d=identicon

Rick Hahn

With all do respect, why does MLBTR seem convinced that the White Sox will suddenly become contenders next year? They have no depth, too many holes, no trade flexibility....

Does MLBTR think that? Tim Dierkes, site owner and noted Chicago area residence, has written and explained on the podcast that he thinks they CAN be a contender, that he thinks they WILL try to contend, and that he believes they SHOULD continue to do that rather than tearing down. That's not quite a prediction that they'll cruise to the AL Central crown -- to the contrary, he talked about how much work they have to do.

In this day and age, with so much talent and so much money, it's hard to just count out many clubs, as I already mentioned. I wouldn't do that with the White Sox, even though I wouldn't label them an obvious contender.

22/10/2015 19:48
Dilmot avatar

Jeff Todd

Not sure if my last answer came off as contentious, btw, but I didn't intend it. Fair question. Fast-moving chat.

22/10/2015 19:48
Dilmot avatar

Jeff Todd

Eca9f60a3b10751bb4daa10b6bc45c8b?d=identicon

Oaktown!

Will the Warriors repeat

Is this some kind of military history question or is there another sport with a team by that name?

Really, though, check out Hoops Rumors.

22/10/2015 19:49
Dilmot avatar

Jeff Todd

49c8844e4bae9c2736a947493f248926?d=identicon

Tommy Lasorda

Better chances at signing Greinke, Dodgers or the field?

I'll take the field. But for any single team, as of right now (having heard very little in terms of rumors), I'd say the Dodgers.

22/10/2015 19:50
Dilmot avatar

Jeff Todd

918e862585716e5f6be3899347d4ae4c?d=identicon

Eugene

Should Braves try to extend Shelby Miller long term?

For me, I'd like to see another season before committing.

22/10/2015 19:51
Dilmot avatar

Jeff Todd

B82a9a13f4651e9abcbde90cd24ce2cb?d=identicon

Mark

How long of a leash does Andrew Friedman have?

The kind of leash that you hate to see if you are neighbor to a dog owner and prefer that your lawn stays nice and green.

22/10/2015 19:52
Dilmot avatar

Jeff Todd

834cb54b61bbed9d4296c995e4c5d8b2?d=identicon

CB

What kind of return could reds expect from a Frazier deal?

They'd be in the driver's seat, asking for some top prospects. There might be some differing opinions on Frazier, who was a late bloomer and fell off down the stretch, but given the state of the 3rd base market there would be a lot of interest.

22/10/2015 19:53
Dilmot avatar

Jeff Todd

Edf09ae5c6973371db1e1dbe025542c7?d=identicon

Kent Tekulve

Does JA Happ wind back up with the Buccos considering his torrid run with the club? What kind of money does it take?

Charlie Wilmoth, resident Bucs expert, thinks he'll be too expensive. He could get three years.

That's okay, they'll just go find some more pitching corpses to breath life into. (Not to insult they guys who they've turned around. Halloween-themed jokes, is all.)

22/10/2015 19:55
Dilmot avatar

Jeff Todd

7efd721c8bfff2937c66235f2d0dbac1?d=identicon

Adam

Where will Jason Heyward play in 2016?

Right field, though he could probably play center if a team was so inclined.

Or did you mean ...

22/10/2015 19:56
Dilmot avatar

Jeff Todd

544e1dd64a1b1bd69212ef94d158105c?d=identicon

Uhh...

As a Mariners fan let me be the first to say: The Mariners. Re: Paxton for Martinez.

Look, Paxton is a nice player who has some upside, but he's rebuilding his innings right now, already has 2 years of service on him, and hasn't really done it yet in the majors.

But if you want to keep him, your wishes will probably be answered, because I don't think it's a great time to deal him.

22/10/2015 19:58
Dilmot avatar

Jeff Todd

3a368818b7341d48660e8dd6c5a77dbe?d=identicon

Joe

What does the MM mean when speaking of contracts? Million monies? Why the second "m" ?

I forget, but it means millions. There are several ways of doing that, this is an uncommon but accepted one. Use the google for more details.

22/10/2015 19:58
Dilmot avatar

Jeff Todd

3875acc0c1561d949c39685e96b9a4bb?d=identicon

Babe Ruth

How do you know I'm not asking a question?

Well, now that you mention it, I do remember you appearing in The Sandlot.

Can we all just take a moment to appreciate that film?

22/10/2015 19:59
Dilmot avatar

Jeff Todd

Ea554a9b39b5d82cde64efab8d0ffa5c?d=identicon

MIL-BAL

Khris Davis and Lind for Bundy?

Not expecting Bundy or Profar to be traded any time soon.

22/10/2015 20:00
Dilmot avatar

Jeff Todd

D81cb8e8e6cf13af4e9a2adbe7b80216?d=identicon

Some bguy

Should the Brewers ditch Lucroy to really restock on young talent?

My vote, I think: let him rebuild value in the first half while helping along the pitching staff. Hopefully, summer is a good time to sell.

22/10/2015 20:01
Dilmot avatar

Jeff Todd

41cf8caa8649408f391e97ad14c8df0c?d=identicon

Curly_W

Does Dexter Fowler make sense in DC? Are the Nats gonna be interested if so?

Yes, but I think he's too expensive and will want a more certain role. More likely: Parra, Span (if he can't find better elsewhere, unlikely), or a trade.

22/10/2015 20:02
Dilmot avatar

Jeff Todd

Ff8f3b2601338785ba30ac26188290df?d=identicon

Kurt

Taijuan Walker, Tom Wilhelmsen, Alex Jackson, DJ Peterson for AJ Pollock? Too much or too little for Dipoto to part with for the D-Backs Centerfielder?!

Don't see the Dbacks parting with Pollock. You can always dream up scenarios, of course, but Arizona wants to win now and he has quietly been unbelievable.

22/10/2015 20:03
Dilmot avatar

Jeff Todd

85b103482a20682da703aa388933a6d8?d=identicon

Joshua

Just for fun, and I KNOW this would never happy, but who says No in this deal: Bryce Harper to Boston for Betts, Bogaerts, and Swihart? Thanks.

Oof. I'm scared to answer this for fear of retribution from fans of one or the other team. (DC fans are pretty easy going, but I am from the area and can't put my family at risk, sorry.)

22/10/2015 20:05
Dilmot avatar

Jeff Todd

D3e119122412915fdc5ffc33c34bdca0?d=identicon

Josh rodriguez

Are the Nationals going to go to rebuild mode?

I saw that report and just don't see it as a possibility. They have tons of good, young players at the MLB level.

Whether or not they keep jacking up the payroll is another question. And they could deal short-term veterans (as they considered doing last winter with Zimmermann/Desmond). But a full-on rebuild? No.

22/10/2015 20:06
Dilmot avatar

Jeff Todd

Ad05f78187c942f9dd521605fa81f1ba?d=identicon

MM

Jeff, M is for milli, the metric 1000, so a million being 1000 times 1000, it's MM.

Thanks, really did not feel like looking this up. I trust that you are correct.

22/10/2015 20:06
Dilmot avatar

Jeff Todd

Bb6881af7bfe702ade03c262269d261f?d=identicon

Nats fan

What would it take for the Nats to get rid of Werths contract?

Is it really that bad with two years and 42 million left? Sure, it's more than he'd get as a free agent, but that's the nature of things at this stage of a deal.

They'd have to eat money to move him at this point, but it's not like they are desperate for payroll space (they have some flexibility) or have something lined up to replace him (they traded Souza to get replacements at SS and SP).

22/10/2015 20:08
Dilmot avatar

Jeff Todd

Ca888daed418e20e30ab4e1ab7f90e35?d=identicon

Dave Young

Who do you think the Royals sign as a starting pitcher for next year?

Well, they can sign Chris Young and get incredible value, and trade for Cueto and get nothing. So I just don't know. The Royals just confuse the heck out of me. Dayton Moore can do whatever he wants with some cheaper arms, and he and Yost will somehow turn it into treasure, I guess.

22/10/2015 20:11
Dilmot avatar

Jeff Todd