That's not too predictable, but I'll throw out Alex Gordon as an answer.

Hmm, Mark Shapiro and Peter Weller. Separated at birth? From all accounts I've read, Maeda is not an impact starter. I believe he's fairly undersized and profiles as a #3 or 4. I do think he makes sense for the Jays though, in that he could cost around the same as Mike Leake and have a touch more upside.

I see them as a dark horse on Jason Heyward. The fit is really strong there. Obviously they'd have to step waaay outside of their comfort zone for a contract, but they did that on Robertson so you never know.

I wouldn't look at it that way. The question is more, "How many of these guys are they likely to be in on?" And to that I'd say any starting pitcher Brett Anderson on down is reasonable enough.

Chances of retaining both? Probably less than 5%. Each player almost has to cost $15MM+ per year, and it's really hard to see both staying when they need to add starting pitching.

I'll nominate Ian Kennedy. Gallardo seems possible too.

Absolutely not. At the GM Meetings, the Cubs seem to be pushing back on the idea of jacking up their payroll, which could be read as a sign they're not as likely to pay David Price $30MM a year as some of us have made them out to be. While I picked the Cubs for Price, I have no idea if they have an appetite for the largest contract ever given to a pitcher.

That's a rough fit to me, a $200MM contract is a big leap forward from where they've been, and he's an imperfect fit for their roster.

Probably another less than 5% type thing. I can't recall a time where a team signed each of the market's top relievers, which in this case would cost at least $40MM. I know they've got money to spend, but they also want to add two starters and maybe an OF.

I'm not sure Zobrist profiles as a regular third baseman. He's not a good fit for a team that won't be fully trying to contend until 2017, either. The one sliver of a chance for this match is that Atlanta is probably the closest MLB city to where the Zobrists make their offseason home, Nashville. So maybe if he decides to take an extreme discount to go there, like 3/40.

I think it's possible that out of 4-5K entrants, fewer than ten people would have made that pick, and possibly zero. That said, I like the general philosophy of seeing value, getting the player, and sorting out the exact fit later. Guys get hurt, performance drops off, trades get made, etc.

I could see them on Freese, and/or a lefty masher type like Steve Pearce or Mike Napoli. Or an outfielder of that ilk like Chris Young.

I don't actually think they will sign all three, or even two of the three. But, this is a team that looks to be in good shape right now with just two position players, Abreu and Eaton. I consider their infield to be pretty wide open, and Tim Anderson seems like the only guy to really avoid blocking over the next few years.

It seemed like a good idea at the time. As reasonable as any other fit for Heyward, at least. Some reports are out this week downplaying the idea of the Yankees trading Gardner and/or spending big money, so I'm not sure I'd still make that pick if I published the list today.

I can't speak to how serious they are about not giving out a big contract this winter. I think they should be heavily in the mix for all top players. And I do think Heyward is good enough to move Gardner or Beltran.

That's tough, I don't find either of those scenarios likely. I guess the starting pitching one, though not those guys.

I actually think the Nats are a reasonable enough dark horse for the Nationals. Werth is un-tradeable, so I'd picture a situation more where Harper moves to CF to open up RF for Heyward. And I don't see Heyward signing for fewer than eight years.

That is kind of how I came about the Justin Upton pick for them - Harper to CF, Werth to RF, Upton to LF. They might not want to enter the season having to count on Werth. Adding a big name allows them to still have Big Name/Taylor/Harper if Werth goes down.

Definitely. It's feeling a bit more likely now than it did to me last week. I still think most of their dollars go toward starting pitching, but we can't deny that LF is wide open and there are some strong free agents for that position.

I don't picture a scenario where they are signing two $100MM-ish players. But to add one, which would be the largest contract in franchise history...I can see that.

I'll say no. I kicked that fit around, but giving out the largest contract in team history and forfeiting the #16 pick in the draft, to sign Dexter, doesn't seem prudent.

I don't picture any team actually desiring an opt-out clause (though they often work to teams' benefits) because they are all downside risk for the club. However, I imagine most team owners who really want to add Heyward will be OK with it.

I've picked them for lower-level names, the Happ types, with the idea of spreading the wealth around several FAs. But if you wanted to stretch and suggest they'll entertain the five-year, $80MM type pitchers, I could buy it.

I think most people consider it a solid fit, and they've come right out and said they have payroll capacity. He is a big LH bat that could really change their lineup. I didn't pick them for Davis because of the emerging A.J. Reed, but there's always the DH spot.

I don't think the plan is to bring Dipoto in to have him sign big name FAs (even though the Angels had him do just that). I also think mid-range guys like Fowler are unlikely because they'll want to keep their #11 pick. Still, on paper they are a nice match for Chris Davis.

I'm of the mind that most teams can technically afford most players, at least when we're talking about major markets. If the Mets or Cubs act like they couldn't afford a guy, it's more that ownership wasn't into the investment.

I think the Mets don't consider Cespedes worth 6/140-150, and I agree with that. And he's not a great fit for their roster long-term.

I've only been to the Winter Meetings twice, and I was credentialed. But I do think it's a worthwhile experience, at least for one day, if you're not, because there are going to be a lot of famous faces buzzing around the lobby and bars. The credential only gets you into the media workroom, which is where a handful of press conferences and GM chats happen.

There's a bit of a misconception, as the Donaldson thing was an anonymous source and Gray was Beane on record. So, I do trust him on this.

Though I see Dipoto as more of a trader, I think their chances of signing Span are as good as anyone's. So, let's say 20%.

Off the cuff, Austin Jackson. I went 1/12 there last week, but now I am thinking he maximizes value and tries for 2/22, 3/30, something like that.

Not saying they won't, but I find the rumor odd for multiple reasons. 1. He and Betances formed a great duo, why break that up? 2. Trading him doesn't save that much money. 3. Does he really bring that huge of a return? Whoever liked him could have bid on him a year ago.

Dodgers, Giants, Cubs, Red Sox, Tigers. If you wanted to go Astros instead of Tigers I wouldn't argue.

I've seen the Red Sox and Cubs stuff, but those are imperfect fits. I'll say Angels.

I feel bad even talking about this in a baseball sense, but I guess I will. Reyes is persona non grata. No one's trading for him.

Most likely to be traded in general, Castro. For pitching, Soler I guess.

Yeah, that shouldn't really stop a win-now type too much. That would be a pretty disappointing offseason, the guys you're mentioning.

The Rockies have never been able to lure decent pitchers for small investments. It's literally the worst place a pitcher can rebuild value. I guess if they threw it at Rich Hill he'd have to say yes.

Steve Adams and I talked extensively about this when the Giants declined his option, because Steve is president of the Aoki fan club I believe. Steve's comparison of Aoki to Nick Markakis is apt though, and he's a good get at 2/10 if he's healthy.

I didn't forget. I just have a gut feeling that Heyward prices himself out of their range, and/or that they choose Davis with the goal of impacting the lineup in a way that Heyward can't.

It's a weird idea, and if I were a Rockies fan I'd be rooting heavily against it. Bad value there.

Rich friggin' Hill.

You already knew I would say Cueto! To me he's a good combo of a slightly lower price tag, potentially shorter term, but still ace stuff.

You know what? I have heard crazier ideas. I guess the Jays would be a little less likely to pull the trigger on that than the Nats would. The Nats could replace Stras more easily than the Jays could Bautista, I think.

It's an improvement over the Elias rankings. Reason being, fewer players are adversely affected. Every year we used to see Type A relievers affected by it, but since the QO sets the salary so high, only top closers like David Robertson are going to get it (and not a top setup type like O'Day).

I think the whole idea of losing a draft pick if you sign a free agent should be abolished. If you want to award one to the team losing a big FA, I'm OK with that.

Sure, they're both viable. Shark being a better pitcher, I imagine they'd be more interested in him. There is the general issue that FAs typically don't prefer to go to Toronto, and that they often need to overpay (as they did with A.J. Burnett). But with so many arms on the market, it seems like they have to sign someone.

I'm going to say no. However, it's more likely now than it ever has been, because more marginal players got the offer. The guy who really needs to look at it is Marco Estrada, because he has/had the least earning power of any of the 20. I think for guys like Estrada, Brett Anderson, and maybe Colby Rasmus, whose value is dragged down by this, a good call would be to try to work out a deal before Friday's deadline. If I'm Estrada and the Jays offer 3/27, I'm probably taking that.

Of course. He's definitely a good fit for them, and if the price tag is $50MM or less, that's a pretty good buy.

I'll say the Astros. Only a surprise in that it's been a long time since they've operated at the top end of the FA market.

I think Werth is unreliable enough that they could add someone and still wind up giving Taylor 400 PA. I also think Harper is a bigger health risk than people may recall. Good thing about Parra is that you can play him part-time without complaint.